New York Film Festival 2024 Predictions (Round 2)

Virtual Lock
All We Imagine as Light (Payal Kapadia)
Anora (Sean Baker)
By the River (Hong Sang-soo)
Caught by the Tides (Jia Zhangke)
Dahomey (Mati Diop)
Grand Tour (Miguel Gomes)
Misericordia (Alain Guiraudie)
A Traveler’s Needs (Hong Sang-soo)
Youth (Hard Times) (Wang Bing)

Strong Chance
Afternoons of Solitude (Albert Serra)
The Damned (Roberto Minervini)
L’Empire (Bruno Dumont)
Pepe (Nelson Carlo de los Santos Arias)
The Shrouds (David Cronenberg)
The Sparrow in the Chimney (Ramon Zürcher)
Suspended Time (Olivier Assayas)

Moderate Possibility
Black Dog (Guan Hu)
Cent mille milliards (Virgil Vernier)
Death Will Come (Christoph Hochhäusler)
Elementary (Claire Simon)
Favoriten (Ruth Beckermann)
Matt and Mara (Kazik Radwanski)
Meeting With Pol Pot (Panh Rithy)
No Other Land (Basel Adra & Hamdan Ballal & Yuval Abraham & Rachel Szor)
Oh, Canada (Paul Schrader)
On Becoming a Guinea Fowl (Rungano Nyoni)
The Other Way Around (Jonás Trueba)
Rumours (Guy Maddin & Evan Johnson & Galen Johnson)
An Unfinished Film (Lou Ye)
Universal Language (Matthew Rankin)
Visiting Hours (Patricia Mazuy)
Who by Fire (Philippe Lesage)

Currents
The Adamant Girl (PS Vinothraj)
Bluish (Lilith Kraxner & Milena Czernovsky)
Bogancloch (Ben Rivers)
The Cats of Gokogu Shrine (Soda Kazuhiro)
Direct Action (Ben Russell & Guillaume Cailleau) [opening night]
Fire of Wind (Marta Mateus)
Invention (Courtney Stephens)
Lázaro de noche (Nicolás Pereda)
Monólogo Colectivo (Jessica Sarah Rinland)
Normandie (Vadim Kostrov)
Room of Shadows (Camilo Restrepo)
7 Walks With Mark Brown (Pierre Creton & Vincent Barré)
Sleep With Your Eyes Open (Nele Wohlatz)
Under a Blue Sun (Daniel Mann)
Viet and Nam (Trương Minh Quý)
You Burn Me (Matías Piñeiro)

Spotlight
Blitz (Steve McQueen) [gala]
Christmas Eve in Miller’s Point (Tyler Taormina)
Eephus (Carson Lund)
Eight Postcards From Utopia (Radu Jude & Christian Ferencz-Flatz)
exergue – on documenta 14 (Dimitris Athiridis)
Filmlovers! (Arnaud Desplechin)
The Invasion (Sergei Loznitsa)
It’s Not Me (Leos Carax)
The Seed of the Sacred Fig (Mohammad Rasoulof)
Scénarios/Exposé du film annonce du film “Scénario” (Jean-Luc Godard)
Sleep #2 (Radu Jude)

New

By the River (Hong Sang-soo)
Hong.

Youth (Hard Times) (Wang Bing)
Might be placing this too highly considering the Locarno premiere vs. the Cannes competition berth of its predecessor, but if the reception is even nearly as positive then it should make it to the Main Slate easily.

Afternoons of Solitude (Albert Serra)
Not sure exactly what a Serra documentary will look like but the general embrace in the Lim era of fiction feature auteurs’ documentary efforts (Haynes, Mendonça Filho) make it a likely inclusion.

The Sparrow in the Chimney (Ramon Zürcher)
Might even have this too low, considering this will be yet another step up in ambition from the Zürchers’ previous film.

Cent mille milliards (Virgil Vernier)
Vernier has been around a while and seems to have a pretty strong base of support.

Death Will Come (Christoph Hochhäusler)
Probably less likely considering his previous Berlin award-winning film didn’t make it in but it’s possible.

Bluish (Lilith Kraxner & Milena Czernovsky)
FIDMarseille Grand Prix winner.

Bogancloch (Ben Rivers)
Rivers.

Fire of Wind (Marta Mateus)
Invention (Courtney Stephens)
Lázaro de noche (Nicolás Pereda)
Monólogo Colectivo (Jessica Sarah Rinland)
Room of Shadows (Camilo Restrepo)
7 Walks With Mark Brown (Pierre Creton & Vincent Barré)
Lots of Projections/Currents alumni, plus Rinland in Art of the Real.

Normandie (Vadim Kostrov)
Kostrov’s been around a “while” and a FIDMarseille berth seems as good an opportunity as any.

Blitz (Steve McQueen)
McQueen; purely speculative section placement and gala assignment but could easily see it in Main Slate, even as one of the galas there.

Eight Postcards From Utopia (Radu Jude & Christian Ferencz-Flatz)
Sleep #2 (Radu Jude)
Jude; both seem at first glance perhaps too small for Main Slate but could be mistaken.

Removed

All the Long Nights (Miyake Sho)
Japan Cuts.