2026 Capsules

Indiana Jones and the Temple of Doom [rewatch]

In a series that’s self-evidently obsessed with the past and all its associated rituals and relics, it’s notable that Temple of Doom is the only one with an interest in what a “modern”-day practice of religion as a way of life looks like. Not the Thuggee cult, a group of power-hungry individuals resurrecting something from a century prior, but the villagers, who already believe in the sacred power of the stone while everyone else with every other relic (even the Ark of the Covenant) has to be convinced of its divine provenance. In tandem, this is the only film that takes place completely outside of America, and indeed the West at large. The normal foundations of Indiana’s relatively comfortable university existence are totally absent, and he and Spielberg are left to fend for themselves in a foreign land with little to guide them.

Django Unchained [rewatch]
Ever since Tarantino borrowed from City on Fire, and thus the whole heroic bloodshed genre as a whole, to form the emotional throughline of Reservoir Dogs, his films have had an intriguing relationship to male homosociality, or more specifically its importance to the films’ central characters, though he largely abandoned it for his trio of women-led films (Jackie Brown, Kill Bill, Death Proof). Pulp Fiction and Inglourious Basterds appear to feature it as a central component, but Jackson’s character in the former is the sole focus of the final scene despite his and Travolta’s dynamic across the film’s fragmented timeline, and Pitt and Novak have far too little screentime together for the latter to have close to equal importance in Basterds‘s concluding image. In this respect, The Hateful Eight and Once Upon a Time…in Hollywood are mirror images of an apotheosis of this tendency in Tarantino’s filmography: one a portrait of two uneasy companions who find true, twisted equality at the end of existence, and one a fully lived-in and loving embodiment of a bond that, at the same time, carries a built-in inequality that’s impossible to be acknowledged.

That leaves Django Unchained, which in its own ungainly way carves out the closest central male-male relationship to Reservoir Dogs across a far longer diegetic timespan, and posed on the electric dynamic between Waltz—no mere kindly Hans Landa revamp but instead an immaculate picture of compromised Old World courtesy—and Foxx, who turns out the most purely iconic performance in any Tarantino film, all aloof cool and quiet fury that grounds the mess of genre and historical signifiers. Unlike the three other films where the clearly designated central duos survive roughly the same amount of time, Waltz exits the film far before the ending, but the importance of his own brand of tutelage—in stark contrast to the American evils swirling around every other character save Broomhilda—lingers far longer: the tenderness with which Django pauses over Schultz’s body during his storming of Candyland, the brief cutaway from his triumphal expression to Schultz praising Django’s skill, are even more key to the film’s ultimate emotional impact than his reunion with his beloved and ability to ride off into the night.

New York Film Festival 2026 Predictions (Round 2)

Virtual Lock
All of a Sudden (Hamaguchi Ryusuke)
Dao (Alain Gomis)
The Day She Returns (Hong Sang-soo)
The Diary of a Chambermaid (Radu Jude)
The Dreamed Adventure (Valeska Grisebach)
La libertad doble (Lisandro Alonso)
My Wife Cries (Angela Schanelec)
Nowhere to Lay My Eyes (Hong Sang-soo)
Paper Tiger (James Gray) [opening night]
Possible Love (Lee Chang-dong)
The Unknown (Arthur Harari)

Strong Chance
Bitter Christmas (Pedro Almodóvar)
Everything Else Is Noise (Nicolás Pereda)
Fatherland (Paweł Pawlikowski)
Fjord (Cristian Mungiu)
The Man I Love (Ira Sachs)
A Man of His Time (Emmanuel Marre)
9 Temples to Heaven (Sompot Chidgasornpongse)
Once Upon a Time in Harlem (William & David Greaves)
Queen at Sea (Lance Hammer)
Red Rocks (Bruno Dumont)
Tender Loving Care (Mike Leigh)

Moderate Possibility
The Beloved (Rodrigo Sorogoyen)
Clarissa (Arie & Chuko Esiri)
Club Kid (Jordan Firstman)
Everytime (Sandra Wollner)
La Gradiva (Marine Atlan)
I See Buildings Fall Like Lightning (Clio Barnard)
Josephine (Beth de Araújo)
The Loneliest Man in Town (Tizza Covi & Rainer Frimmel)
Minotaur (Andrey Zvyagintsev)
Nagi Notes (Fukada Koji)
La perra (Dominga Sotomayor)
Rose (Markus Schleinzer)
Thanks for Coming (Alain Cavalier)

Currents
Eden (James Benning)
Fire Flower (Ana Vaz)
Foreign Travel (Ted Fendt)
Hearing (Lê Bảo)
The House on the Moon (Nelson Yeo) [centerpiece]
London (Sebastian Brameshuber)
September Afternoon (Nicolaas Schmidt)
Tomorrow a Long Time Ago (Luise Donschen)

Spotlight
Artificial (Luca Guadagino)
The Debut (Jesse Eisenberg) [gala]
Revolutionaries Never Die (Mohanad Yaqubi)
Sixteen Moments of My Life (Albert Serra)

New

Nowhere to Lay My Eyes (Hong Sang-soo)
Hong.

Possible Love (Lee Chang-dong)
Lee.

Tender Loving Care (Mike Leigh)
Completely blanked on Hard Truths two years ago, not making the same mistake this time.

Fire Flower (Ana Vaz)
It Is Night in America not being in Currents gives me some pause, but Vaz has been prominent for a while.

Hearing (Lê Bảo)
Taste was well-received.

The House on the Moon (Nelson Yeo)
Dreaming & Dying was at ND/NF, and a role for Lee Kang-sheng can’t hurt.

September Afternoon (Nicolaas Schmidt)
A wishful pick, given how much I appreciated FIRST TIME.

Tomorrow a Long Time Ago (Luise Donschen)
Casanova Gene was in Art of the Real.

Revolutionaries Never Die (Mohanad Yaqubi)
Sounds intriguing and would fit in well with the current revival for Jocelyne Saab’s work.

Sixteen Moments of My Life (Albert Serra)
Serra.

Artificial (Luca Guadagnino)
Really could go anywhere in the selection, now that Guadagnino’s been Opening Night.

The Debut (Jesse Eisenberg)
A Real Pain was a pleasant surprise for Spotlight last time; if I had to guess a Spotlight gala it’d be this one.

Removed

The History of Concrete (John Wilson)
Will be released prior to the festival.

Hope (Na Hong-jin)
Will be released prior to the festival.

New York Film Festival 2026 Predictions (Round 1)

Virtual Lock
All of a Sudden (Hamaguchi Ryusuke)
Dao (Alain Gomis)
The Day She Returns (Hong Sang-soo)
The Diary of a Chambermaid (Radu Jude)
The Dreamed Adventure (Valeska Grisebach)
La libertad doble (Lisandro Alonso)
My Wife Cries (Angela Schanelec)
Paper Tiger (James Gray)
The Unknown (Arthur Harari)

Strong Chance
Bitter Christmas (Pedro Almodóvar)
Everything Else Is Noise (Nicolás Pereda)
Fatherland (Paweł Pawlikowski)
Fjord (Cristian Mungiu)
The Man I Love (Ira Sachs)
A Man of His Time (Emmanuel Marre)
9 Temples to Heaven (Sompot Chidgasornpongse)
Once Upon a Time in Harlem (William & David Greaves)
Queen at Sea (Lance Hammer)
Red Rocks (Bruno Dumont)

Moderate Possibility
The Beloved (Rodrigo Sorogoyen)
Clarissa (Arie & Chuko Esiri)
Club Kid (Jordan Firstman)
Everytime (Sandra Wollner)
La Gradiva (Marine Atlan)
Hope (Na Hong-jin)
I See Buildings Fall Like Lightning (Clio Barnard)
Josephine (Beth de Araújo)
The Loneliest Man in Town (Tizza Covi & Rainer Frimmel)
Minotaur (Andrey Zvyagintsev)
Nagi Notes (Fukada Koji)
La perra (Dominga Sotomayor)
Rose (Markus Schleinzer)
Thanks for Coming (Alain Cavalier)

Currents
Eden (James Benning)
Foreign Travel (Ted Fendt)
London (Sebastian Brameshuber)

Spotlight
The History of Concrete (John Wilson)

Virtual Lock

All of a Sudden (Hamaguchi Ryusuke)
Hamaguchi.

Dao (Alain Gomis)
Dennis Lim said on Instagram that this was surely one of the films of the year.

The Day She Returns (Hong Sang-soo)
Hong.

The Diary of a Chambermaid (Radu Jude)
Jude fiction feature.

The Dreamed Adventure (Valeska Grisebach)
Grisebach.

La libertad doble (Lisandro Alonso)
Alonso.

My Wife Cries (Angela Schanelec)
Schanelec.

Paper Tiger (James Gray)
Gray.

The Unknown (Arthur Harari)
Lim spoke extremely highly of this on the Film Comment Podcast, and it was a clear highlight of the Cannes competition for virtually everyone who liked it.

Strong Chance

Bitter Christmas (Pedro Almodóvar)
Almodóvar hasn’t not made the Main Slate in over 30 years (aside from the ineligible I’m So Excited!), though this one seems minor enough that I have just the hint of a doubt.

Everything Else Is Noise (Nicolás Pereda)
This will certainly be at NYFF, though it’s a coin flip between here and Currents (whether as the Centerpiece or otherwise).

Fatherland (Paweł Pawlikowski)
Generally quite liked out of Cannes and Cold War was a past selection.

Fjord (Cristian Mungiu)
Mungiu’s made every NYFF since 4 Months and no Palme d’or winner has missed since Dheepan, though the sharp divisiveness of this gives me some doubt.

The Man I Love (Ira Sachs)
Might be overrating its chances but seems like a logical next step from Peter Hujar’s Day.

9 Temples to Heaven (Sompot Chidgasornpongse)
Could easily see this going to Currents or ND/NF, but one of the slow cinema banner carriers at Cannes this year, and Lim liked it a good deal.

A Man of His Time (Emmanuel Marre)
Perhaps the biggest surprise of the Cannes competition, and the Film Comment Podcast made it sound like a Pietro Marcello film or something.

Once Upon a Time in Harlem (William & David Greaves)
One of the most beloved films of the year; fairly sure this will be at NYFF, either here or in Spotlight.

Queen at Sea (Lance Hammer)
Things have been mysteriously quiet surrounding this since the Berlin premiere, but sounds appealing enough.

Red Rocks (Bruno Dumont)
Certainly one of the most notable Fortnight films, and Lim mentioned it approvingly alongside the Alonso.

Moderate Possibility

The Beloved (Rodrigo Sorogoyen)
Didn’t see anyone really dislike this despite its similarities to Sentimental Value, which might be a good sign.

Clarissa (Arie & Chuko Esiri)
Lim mentioned this as one of his Fortnight highlights.

Club Kid (Jordan Firstman)
Heavily dependent on when A24 decides to release this, though I wouldn’t be surprised if it wasn’t really to Lim’s taste.

Everytime (Sandra Wollner)
The Prix un certain regard winner hasn’t made it since Unclenching the Fists in 2021, yet this sounds mysterious in the best way.

La Gradiva (Marine Atlan)
Quite clearly the breakout film of Cannes; might go to ND/NF, but I think the level of passion pushes it towards NYFF.

Hope (Na Hong-jin)
Not getting any award from Park Chan-wook’s jury hurts its chances, but it definitely has a cadre of admirers.

I See Buildings Fall Like Lightning (Clio Barnard)
Barnard hasn’t made it to NYFF before, but this was well-received.

Josephine (Beth de Araújo)
Sundance usually has one or two films at NYFF, and this was definitely the most prominent to premiere there apart from the Greaves.

The Loneliest Man in Town (Tizza Covi & Rainer Frimmel)
One of the best received Berlin competition titles among those who watched it.

Minotaur (Andrey Zvyagintsev)
Zvyagintsev has never been at NYFF, though it was one of only two 4-stars Justin Chang gave in the Competition.

Nagi Notes (Fukada Koji)
Definitely probable that A Girl Missing‘s selection was a one-off, but a Cannes berth does still hold more weight than Venice after all this time.

La perra (Dominga Sotomayor)
Nobody seemed especially aware of Swim to Me before it dropped unceremoniously on Netflix, and Lim had it as one of his Fortnight standouts.

Rose (Markus Schleinzer)
Predicting more Berlin competition titles than I probably should, but Hüller is worth betting on.

Thanks for Coming (Alain Cavalier)
Cavalier only appeared in the Main Slate once with Thérèse back in 1986(!), one among many notable Fortnight films.

Currents

Eden (James Benning)
Benning mentioned that he just finished this film, and I doubt he’ll wait until next year to premiere it, so this would be a good world premiere spot and/or second stop after Wavelengths.

Foreign Travel (Ted Fendt)
Fendt.

London (Sebastian Brameshuber)
One of the best-received films at Berlin.

Spotlight

The History of Concrete (John Wilson)
Wouldn’t be shocked if this was in Main Slate, though I’m also not sure about release plans.

New York Film Festival 2025 Predictions (Round 3)

Main Slate
*After the Hunt (Luca Guadagnino)
*Father Mother Sister Brother (Jim Jarmusch)
*Is This Thing On? (Bradley Cooper)
Blue Moon (Richard Linklater)
The Blue Trail (Gabriel Mascaro)
Dracula (Radu Jude)
Drunken Noodles (Lucio Castro)
Duse (Pietro Marcello)
Enzo (Robin Campillo)
If I Had Legs I’d Kick You (Mary Bronstein)
It Was Just an Accident (Jafar Panahi)
Jay Kelly (Noah Baumbach)
Kontinental ’25 (Radu Jude)
Landmarks (Lucrecia Martel)
The Love That Remains (Hlynur Pálmason)
Magellan (Lav Diaz)
The Mastermind (Kelly Reichardt)
Mirrors No. 3 (Christian Petzold)
No Other Choice (Park Chan-wook)
The Perfect Neighbor (Geeta Gandbhir)
A Poet (Simón Mesa Soto)
Resurrection (Bi Gan)
Romería (Carla Simón)
Rose of Nevada (Mark Jenkin)
The Secret Agent (Kleber Mendonça Filho)
Sentimental Value (Joachim Trier)
Sirât (Óliver Laxe)
Sound of Falling (Mascha Schilinski)
Two Prosecutors (Sergei Loznitsa)
What Does That Nature Say to You (Hong Sang-soo)
Yes! (Nadav Lapid)
Young Mothers (Jean-Pierre & Luc Dardenne)

Currents
*Dry Leaf (Alexandre Koberidze)
After Dreaming (Christine Haroutounian)
The Currents (Milagros Mumenthaler)
Hair, Paper, Water (Nicolas Graux & Trương Minh Quý)
The Lake (Fabrice Aragno)
Mare’s Nest (Ben Rivers)
Phantoms of July (Julian Radlmaier)
Remake (Ross McElwee)
The Seasons (Maureen Fazendeiro)
Tales of the Wounded Land (Abbas Fahdel)
With Hasan in Gaza (Kamal Aljafari)

Spotlight
*Marty Supreme (Josh Safdie)
Back Home (Tsai Ming-liang)
Below the Clouds (Gianfranco Rosi)
Bugonia (Yorgos Lanthimos)
Hamnet (Chloé Zhao)
Late Fame (Kent Jones)
Nouvelle Vague (Richard Linklater)
One Battle After Another (Paul Thomas Anderson)
The Smashing Machine (Benny Safdie)
The Souffler (Gastón Solnicki)

New York Film Festival 2025 Predictions (Round 2)

Virtual Lock
Dracula (Radu Jude)
It Was Just an Accident (Jafar Panahi)
Kontinental ’25 (Radu Jude)
The Mastermind (Kelly Reichardt)
Resurrection (Bi Gan)
The Secret Agent (Kleber Mendonça Filho)
Sentimental Value (Joachim Trier)
Sirât (Óliver Laxe)
What Does That Nature Say to You (Hong Sang-soo)

Strong Chance
Blue Moon (Richard Linklater)
The Blue Trail (Gabriel Mascaro)
Duse (Pietro Marcello)
Father Mother Sister Brother (Jim Jarmusch)
Jay Kelly (Noah Baumbach) [centerpiece]
Mirrors No. 3 (Christian Petzold)
Nuestra Tierra (Lucrecia Martel)
One Battle After Another (Paul Thomas Anderson)
Romería (Carla Simón)
Sound of Falling (Mascha Schilinski)
Two Prosecutors (Sergei Loznitsa)
Yes! (Nadav Lapid)

Moderate Possibility
Bugonia (Yorgos Lanthimos)
Drunken Noodles (Lucio Castro)
Enzo (Robin Campillo)
Franz (Agnieszka Holland)
Girl (Shu Qi)
Heads or Tails? (Alessio Rigo de Righi & Matteo Zoppis)
If I Had Legs I’d Kick You (Mary Bronstein)
Living the Land (Huo Meng)
Love on Trial (Fukada Koji)
The Love That Remains (Hlynur Pálmason)
Magellan (Lav Diaz)
Marty Supreme (Josh Safdie) [opening night]
No Other Choice (Park Chan-wook)
Nouvelle Vague (Richard Linklater)
The Perfect Neighbor (Geeta Gandbhir)
A Poet (Simón Mesa Soto)
Renoir (Hayakawa Chie)
Rose of Nevada (Mark Jenkin)
The Smashing Machine (Benny Safdie)
The Voice of Hind Rajab (Kaouther Ben Hania)
The Wizard of the Kremlin (Olivier Assayas)
Young Mothers (Jean-Pierre & Luc Dardenne)

Currents
The Currents (Milagros Mumenthaler)
Dry Leaf (Alexandre Koberidze) [gala]
Hair, Paper, Water (Nicolas Graux & Trương Minh Quý)
The Lake (Fabrice Aragno)
Mare’s Nest (Ben Rivers)
Phantoms of July (Julian Radlmaier)
The Seasons (Maureen Fazendeiro)
Tales of the Wounded Land (Abbas Fahdel)
With Hasan in Gaza (Kamal Aljafari)

Spotlight
Back Home (Tsai Ming-liang)
Below the Clouds (Gianfranco Rosi)
Hamnet (Chloé Zhao) [gala]
Late Fame (Kent Jones)
Remake (Ross McElwee)
The Souffler (Gastón Solnicki)

New

Dracula (Radu Jude)
Jude fiction film.

Duse (Pietro Marcello)
Lim is a great admirer of Marcello’s, and Scarlet made it in despite a relatively muted reception.

Father Mother Sister Brother (Jim Jarmusch)
Jarmusch’s NYFF attendance can be a bit inconsistent, but this hopefully seems like a return to form.

Jay Kelly (Noah Baumbach)
Baumbach’s become a NYFF regular, especially in gala slots (including the divisive White Noise), so predicting this for Centerpiece or Closing Night seems like a safe bet.

Nuestra Tierra (Lucrecia Martel)
Have no idea what to expect from a Martel documentary, but the general adoration of her work makes it likely that this will be in either Main Slate or Spotlight.

Bugonia (Yorgos Lanthimos)
The inclusion of Poor Things as a non-gala selection in Main Slate meant that the committee’s love for Lanthimos was greater than I anticipated; I’m still not entirely convinced that his inclusions aren’t a case-by-case basis but it’s in the cards.

Franz (Agnieszka Holland)
Green Border was a semi-surprising Main Slate pick, and I don’t know how to factor in the TIFF world premiere.

Girl (Shu Qi)
The Venice competition berth for one of cinema’s greatest actor’s directorial debut seems like a vote of confidence.

Marty Supreme (Josh Safdie)/The Smashing Machine (Benny Safdie)
Still not entirely sure how NYFF feels about the Safdies—Uncut Gems was notably a late addition to Spotlight, after the likes of Joker—but wouldn’t be shocked if Josh got the first Opening Night world premiere in a while, and Benny was also in the mix.

No Other Choice (Park Chan-wook)
Feel like Decision to Leave might not have made it into NYFF last time in a stronger premiere year/without the Cannes Best Director award, but he’s always a candidate.

A Poet (Simón Mesa Soto)
Included mostly because of the 1-2 Special acquisition, which signals at least a certain degree of confidence in the film’s merits.

Rose of Nevada (Mark Jenkin)
Enys Men was a slightly surprising choice, and this seems like a relatively more conventional film.

The Voice of Hind Rajab (Kaouther Ben Hania)
Four Daughters wasn’t picked and I truthfully have no idea how this especially sensitive and timely event will be tackled, but I wouldn’t be shocked if this was selected.

The Wizard of the Kremlin (Olivier Assayas)
Suspended Time didn’t make it but I retain some hope for Assayas.

Dry Leaf (Alexandre Koberidze)
This will almost certainly be in the NYFF selection, but an over-three-hour film shot entirely on a Sony Ericsson seems more in the vein of past Currents gala film The Human Surge 3.

Hamnet (Chloé Zhao)
Assuming one of the other films I’ve anticipated for Main Slate doesn’t take the Spotlight gala spot, I think this would make sense, especially considering the very low profile it’s had thus far relative to the prominence of Nomadland‘s 2020 run.

New York Film Festival 2025 Predictions (Round 1)

Virtual Lock
It Was Just an Accident (Jafar Panahi)
Kontinental ’25 (Radu Jude)
The Mastermind (Kelly Reichardt)
Resurrection (Bi Gan)
The Secret Agent (Kleber Mendonça Filho)
Sentimental Value (Joachim Trier)
Sirât (Óliver Laxe)
What Does That Nature Say to You (Hong Sang-soo)

Strong Chance
Blue Moon (Richard Linklater)
The Blue Trail (Gabriel Mascaro)
Mirrors No. 3 (Christian Petzold)
One Battle After Another (Paul Thomas Anderson)
Romería (Carla Simón)
Sound of Falling (Mascha Schilinski)
Two Prosecutors (Sergei Loznitsa)
Yes! (Nadav Lapid)

Moderate Possibility
Drunken Noodles (Lucio Castro)
Enzo (Robin Campillo)
Heads or Tails? (Alessio Rigo de Righi & Matteo Zoppis)
If I Had Legs I’d Kick You (Mary Bronstein)
Living the Land (Huo Meng)
Love on Trial (Fukada Koji)
The Love That Remains (Hlynur Pálmason)
Magellan (Lav Diaz)
Nouvelle Vague (Richard Linklater)
The Perfect Neighbor (Geeta Gandbhir)
Renoir (Hayakawa Chie)
Young Mothers (Jean-Pierre & Luc Dardenne)

Virtual Lock

It Was Just an Accident (Jafar Panahi)
Panahi.

Kontinental ’25 (Radu Jude)
Jude fiction film.

The Mastermind (Kelly Reichardt)
Reichardt.

Resurrection (Bi Gan)
Bi.

The Secret Agent (Kleber Mendonça Filho)
Mendonça Filho.

Sentimental Value (Joachim Trier)
Trier.

Sirât (Óliver Laxe)
Laxe.

What Does That Nature Say to You (Hong Sang-soo)
Hong.

Strong Chance

Blue Moon (Richard Linklater)
I feel like one of the Linklater festival competition films will make it into Main Slate and the other could make it to MS, Spotlight, or miss entirely; though this one is much less buzzy and more modest, the reviews were more uniformly positive.

The Blue Trail (Gabriel Mascaro)
Lim loved Neon Bull + Berlin Grand Jury Prize.

Mirrors No. 3 (Christian Petzold)
Maybe should be a Virtual Lock and I’m sure Lim still wishes he could have programmed Afire, but the avowed modesty of this has me just a little less sure.

One Battle After Another (Paul Thomas Anderson)
The film opens on the same day as NYFF Opening Night and it’s admittedly been a long time since the festival premiered a film on the same day it opened; a special preview Spotlight selection à la Megalopolis last year is more likely if anything happens, but Lim’s greater love of Anderson just might win out.

Romería (Carla Simón)
Considering the variable inclusions of the Golden Bear in NYFF (even during the Chatrian tenure), there might be more enthusiasm for Simón than I realized, and Cannes received this warmly.

Sound of Falling (Mascha Schilinski)
A little hesitant on where to put this; it’s certainly a significant breakthrough film but I could see its unsparing approach rubbing the committee the wrong way; Jury Prize and a strong Justin Chang advocacy makes it much more likely than not though.

Two Prosecutors (Sergei Loznitsa)
Lim certainly likes Loznitsa and this is a well-received return to narrative for him; My Joy is his only Main Slate selection though.

Yes! (Nadav Lapid)
Lapid; unless hesitancy over political considerations takes precedence.

Moderate Possibility

Drunken Noodles (Lucio Castro)
End of the Century was beloved and this seemed to be the highlight of the ACID program, though it would be the first Main Slate entry from there in at minimum a very long time, if not ever.

Enzo (Robin Campillo)
Relatively well-received, a nice tribute to Cantet, and Red Island was an outlier on all counts; 120 BPM might have been a specific alignment of circumstances though.

Heads or Tails? (Alessio Rigo de Righi & Matteo Zoppis)
The Tale of King Crab was in Currents and this seems to be bigger in scale.

If I Had Legs I’d Kick You (Mary Bronstein)
Still not sure if A24 plans to distribute this before the fall, but this was among the most well-received films of the early year and a long-awaited second film.

Living the Land (Huo Meng)
Berlin Best Director winner, though I don’t know much else about it.

Love on Trial (Fukada Koji)
Despite Venice competition title Love Life missing, I still think it’s possible that he could return to NYFF.

The Love That Remains (Hlynur Pálmason)
Strong reviews, general bafflement over its absence from Cannes Competition, and seems to be a shift away from the more ostentatious tone of Godland.

Magellan (Lav Diaz)
Norte, the End of History was his only NYFF entry and this happens to be his first(?) color film since then; the Albert Serra connection and relative cohesion of this might be an appealing occasion for a return.

Nouvelle Vague (Richard Linklater)
This is the less likely of the two Linklaters but it still has a considerable number of defenders (including Justin Chang) and I think it’ll find a place somewhere.

The Perfect Neighbor (Geeta Gandbhir)
The most beloved of the early-year documentaries, aesthetically inventive, and it hasn’t received a New York premiere yet; David Osit’s Predators is a remote possibility as well.

Renoir (Hayakawa Chie)
Was received modestly but strangely feels a little more probable in its references to Japanese cinema/Somai Shinji than something like Hafsia Herzi’s The Little Sister, Cannes Best Actress award notwithstanding.

Young Mothers (Jean-Pierre & Luc Dardenne)
Seems to have been more warmly received than most other recent Dardennes films, though even the Best Screenplay prize is no guarantee.

Gift “Reconstructed”

It’s likely that few works of the past few years have attracted as much curiosity as Hamaguchi Ryusuke’s Gift. July 25, 2023 brought news of two surprise films by the Japanese director, who had kept mum about any further projects in the intervening two years since his mainstream breakthrough with Drive My Car (2021): Evil Does Not Exist, during the announcement of the Venice Film Festival competition, and immediately thereafter Gift, to premiere a month later at the Film Fest Gent in Belgium. The link between the two was already apparent, citing a different approach to the same footage and scenario in the latter’s announcement, but it took a while to fully ascertain that Gift was, in essence, the genesis of its predecessor: Ishibashi Eiko, the composer of the score for Drive My Car, commissioned Hamaguchi to create a 30-minute silent short to accompany a live performance. He felt that he needed to craft a complete scenario in order to create something that would provide sufficient support for her music; during filming he decided to make it completely, in large part due to his appreciation for his actors. Eventually, he made Gift, a 75-minute film that itself expanded upon Ishibashi’s request.

It’s unclear to me whether Gift or the 106-minute Evil Does Not Exist was actually completed first, and thus if the first premiered version was actually an elaboration upon an already preexisting iteration, or if the former was culled from the latter. I presume that the initially conceived 30-minute version was meant to be performed as part of a larger concert by Ishibashi, which may have provided further context not intended by Hamaguchi.

Gift emerges as, surprisingly, a fairly faithful retelling of Evil Does Not Exist. There were many people at the two screenings at Acropolis Cinema who had said that this was their first encounter with either project, which doesn’t strike me as illogical whatsoever. Both films could certainly stand on their own terms, both in a narrative and a purely experiential sense. While I still prefer Evil Does Not Exist for its greater use of Hamaguchi’s strengths, the experience of seeing Ishibashi’s performances was extraordinary.

This piece will focus more on some of the most notable commonalities between the performances—which, to my ear, were largely similar in tone to each other and the predecessor film, though the second performance used fewer of the familiar main themes of EDNE, and all the differences that I can readily recall between Gift and EDNE. It will be fragmentary by nature and revised if I recall further differences or need to correct them.

I must say here that though I did not take any notes, I attempted to recreate Gift from Evil Does Not Exist for my own personal recollection purposes. I feel I was largely successful, but I was only able to locate 54 minutes of footage; it is also not out of the question that reviewing the visual elements of EDNE may have contaminated my memory.

One of Gift‘s most notable qualities—assuming this was not due to the screening conditions—is the generally harsher image; to my untrained eye, it almost looks like non-color corrected log footage, which did not detract from the experience at all. Certain shots, as I’ll get into, are new and thus may have been taken from test shooting, but even the copious amounts of reused images seem to be slightly lower in quality, which suits the slightly less ambiguous and harsher tone of the experience.

Gift also relies much more heavily on on-screen text than might be expected. This, more than anything, conveys the story of Evil Does Not Exist, with additional embellishments. The first one introduces Hana when she first appears on screen, with seven others to come for Takumi, Kazuo, Sachi, Takahashi, Mayuzumi, Suruga, and Tatsuki in order; hers is the only one to be presented over a black screen. Hana and Takumi’s present more information than the others but are still notably terse; the former’s states (on separate lines) “Hana Yasumura, age 8. Lives in Mizubiki, Nagano. Lives with her father. Has no mother.”

The on-screen text also spell out more information about the village, noting its population of over 5,000, calling it small but well-developed, and mentioning the proximity to Tokyo and most villagers’ status as migrants or descendants of migrants from bigger cities. They also sometimes discuss the events to come in a certain scene, such as with the town meeting scene and with the representatives’ second meeting with Takumi. Aside from the relating of the latter, which is presented in black text (perhaps to accommodate the daytime background), all of these use plain white text. This text lends a certain bluntness, even confrontation, to Gift; perhaps it and EDNE are about as ambiguous as another, but the clarity of these intertitles feels greater than the dialogue.

Dialogue is also commonly relayed via this on-screen text, which is mostly overlaid on the image, occasionally placed on a black screen, though these latter instances don’t necessarily appear to be for emphasis; sometimes they seem to accommodate for when a particular shot wasn’t long enough to fit the time to read the line. There are a few moments where text is moved from the center of the screen over Japanese text to quickly translate for the English audience; I recall one on the brochure saying it is “A briefing on the glamping project” or something similar, and another on the diagram reading “Septic tank.”

It must be emphasized here that Gift is more than anything a silent film. It’s certainly possible that someone more acquainted with Ishibashi’s work may see a given performance of this as a concert with a visual accompaniment rather than the other way around, and indeed during my second viewing I spent more time watching Ishibashi instead of the image. But generally I feel that the greatness of her performance comes from the way she seeks to accentuate the emotional and narrative undertow of the images that are presented, in a manner more akin to the live scores of films made pre-1927 than anything else.

Gift, then, presents something of a fascinating quandary, as a silent film that doesn’t necessarily seem to have been filmed with a pre-1927 film grammar. Again, this may come across differently for someone not already familiar with Hamaguchi’s profound belief in the written word, even in a context removed from overt performance. But his actors are by and large underplayers, tremendously subtle even before one of their primary modes of expression is removed. They are not directed to emote, and presenting both these quiet performances and all the beautiful footage of nature (and these people moving within them) brings the film much closer to the hypnotic than many a silent film.

It’s definitely worth noting that Takumi operates as the sole main protagonist here, as almost all of the scenes in Tokyo and the extended car conversation between the representatives are excised. Takahashi still expresses the desire to move to the village, but spending less time with the talent agency representatives and roughly the same amount with Takumi makes him feel that much more prominent, with no significant shift in perspective taking place here.

The only “analog” instrument that Ishibashi played was a flute, which was mainly used for low tones that then appeared to be sampled and looped, which blended into the soundscape of more electronically summoned sounds. Among other things, she had a miniature keyboard, a soundboard of some kind, and a laptop which she seemed to use to cue up particular excerpts from the score.

SPOILERS FOR GIFT *AND* EVIL DOES NOT EXIST FOLLOW:

There are certain sequences where Ishibashi performed the same musical gesture. During one scene from unused footage where Hana is walking in a field, suddenly turning her head and running off, she triggered the gunshot noises heard elsewhere in the film. In yet another moment, the representatives’ boss flings a sheaf of paper into the air, which is accompanied by something akin to metallic drum sting. During much of the town hall meeting, a rapid percussive drum set recording is played which tremendously heightens the intensity of the scene, reminding me of a similar scoring of a rehearsal montage in Drive My Car. During the shot where villagers are searching for Hana in the forest, Ishibashi sang wordlessly into the microphone, much more electronically treated than the flute.

What follows is an attempt to discuss every single scene in Gift that I can recall. It will mostly be in chronological order, following along with my attempted reconstruction, and discusses each scene in its own individual paragraph. By necessity, it may be brief, inelegantly written, and/or repetitive in spots. I would not ordinarily do this, but given the unlikelihood of this ever getting a home media release, I hope this serves as a decent enough substitute.

The film begins with a single title card reading “GIFT” followed by black screen and a cut to the shot of the dead deer that Hana and Takumi encounter in the woods, which is accompanied by the sound of Takumi’s buzzsaw, one of the only sound effects that Ishibashi used in her live scores. It then cuts to unused footage of Hana in tight close-up looking down into the camera, is interrupted by the intertitle, then sees her leaving.

Takumi’s first scene plays out mostly the same, though I seem to recall the first tracking shot begins slightly later in. The text introducing Takumi is placed over the shot of his face as he uses the chainsaw. The scene and shot continues after Takumi has a smoke after wheeling the wood over to his house, panning back to the stump and axe where he prepares to swing. It then cuts on his action to a shot of him chopping a piece of wood in front of the representatives from much later in the film.

A few unused extreme long shots of Takumi driving through a grassier part of the village plays under a few intertitles explaining the village as stated above; I believe the single shot of Takumi driving on his way to the stream in EDNE is also used but I’m not sure.

The scene of Takumi and eventually Kazuo gathering water plays out the same for much of the scene, featuring the first use of on-screen text for dialogue purposes. A brief conversation about the distant gunshots is also shown. During the second trip, a brief unused handheld shot shows Kazuo as he walks, and I believe his introductory text is used here. Then, footage of Sachi cooking udon is shown much earlier than in the film, along with her introductory text. Effectively, people are introduced through the first half of Gift in couples formed by familial or collegial bounds, which goes some way in reorienting the film earlier on.

I believe the film then cuts to a shot of deer tracks that Hana encounters during the town hall meeting, followed by a greenhouse full of manure that she finds during her final sequence before her disappearance (placed between Takahashi chopping wood and the restaurant). The film then cuts to the moment where Takumi and Kazuo discover the wasabi leaves starting with the point-of-view shot. The shot of them actually eating the leaves may be an alternate take, as Kazuo touches his nose from the heat at one point which doesn’t appear to be in EDNE.

There is a fairly rapid series of images that register as premonitions: the deer bite marks on the small maple tree that Takumi and Hana discover, the feather that Takumi picks up, and Takumi wiping the blood from Hana’s nose at the end of the film. There are at least two uses of the shot where Hana looks up into the trees; I cannot recall clearly where they are, so I have placed the first here, which feels accurate enough.

At some point around here, Takahashi and Mayuzumi are introduced much earlier than in EDNE, the biggest structural change in Gift. It begins with the aforementioned shot of their boss hurling paper into the air, which is an alternate, more plainly presented shot of that action, which is only shown in EDNE on the camera of the Playmode Google Meet. The film then (if I’m not missing a shot) shows one shot each of first Takahashi and Mayuzumi with accompanying introductory text, making note of their profession and their status as former actor and caregiver, respectively. Notably, this makes it seem as if this footage is of their first journey to the village, not the second as shown in dialogue from EDNE. One shot shows both of them from behind in the car, followed by I think one long shot of their car with on-screen text that mentions Suruga’s invitation, followed by an unused sequence of three shots where they walk in a field, with Takahashi turning around to film Mayuzumi, who shows a peace sign.

If this sequence doesn’t take place before the previously discussed one, the foreboding tracking shot of trees from the very beginning happens here, though I think it’s possibly taken from a shot immediately before Takumi is looking for Hana, which is similar but slightly shorter. (Note here that the scenes at the elementary school are completely excised in Gift.) This shot is interrupted by an intertitle talking about how Hana essentially punishes Takumi for his typical tardiness in picking her up by running into the woods, and that they both enjoy the game which brings them closer together. The magnificent extended shot of Takumi walking alone, the camera passing behind a little hill, and then Takumi appearing carrying Hana on his back happens here. Takumi then points out the deer bite marks from before to Hana. They are then seen walking in an area with tall yellow grass from slightly later in the EDNE sequence, with Hana flinging snow and Takumi pointing out the watering hole before discovering the feather.

Sachi cooking udon is shown at least twice before the actual restaurant scene; I’ve placed the second instance here, and for some reason there is a brief cut to black in the middle. There is a linkage between I think her restaurant’s chimney (unseen in EDNE) and Takumi’s house’s chimney from a later scene of him drawing, which perhaps serves here as the introduction to the small pre-meeting at Takumi’s house. This plays out as a truncated version, with brief on-screen text introducing Suruga and Tatsuki. The text pays special attention to the feather and Suruga’s son’s interest in the harpsichord.

The shot of the cars pulling out from Takumi’s house is immediately followed by cars pulling into the town hall at daytime. A shot extended from the EDNE version of children playing in front of the town hall is shown under the on-screen text talking about the meeting going poorly, followed by an intertitle highlighting the septic tank as the villagers’ main concern. Hana is initially with the children as Yoshiko hurries in. In an unused shot, she is seen entering and sitting down as the representatives enter the room. There is some configuration of shots where Hana is seen as the door opens and/or closes, and of Hana leaving. I believe some exploring, including the shot of her discovering the black feather, is here, followed by the unused shots of her hearing the gunshots, then running off in a wider shot, but I’m not certain; I think the field she is running in during these unused shots is the same field that the representatives were seen walking in earlier.

Any mention or hint of the hilarious glamping video is elided, and the first footage of the meeting after the scenes with Hana is of Kazuo speaking. Hana is then seen feeding the cows as she does before the shot of the manure much later on, as on-screen text specifically mentions Takumi’s reservations, along with his request for a Playmode representative to speak with the village.

Here, the lack of dialogue and the propulsion of the live score make it especially difficult to track the changes aside from general curtailment, but the order of speakers seems to be the same. Sachi does not mention her restaurant in on-screen text, but is applauded like Suruga. Mayuzumi notably does not speak until in response to Takumi when he speaks while standing. Someone seems to commend Suruga after he speaks (including the lines about water flowing downstream) and exhorts the representatives to explain properly, but the intertitle is disembodied.

There’s one unused wide shot of Takumi smoking while driving the representatives well before their second trip, which I’m placing here despite great uncertainty. Takumi is then shown in what may be an alternate take of him drawing the representatives that (I think) is not interrupted by Hana’s stuffed animal, followed by a shot of him drawing alone.

I think Hana’s dream takes place here rather than the night before the meeting as in EDNE. She is not shown sleeping, and it is much more tantalizingly described as “a dream of beauty,” where Hana dreams herself as first a bird, then “a deer, wind, her father, and herself.” I don’t remember the precise sequence of shots, but I believe it begins with a bird (the second shot of the EDNE dream sequence), then a truncated version of the second shot of Takumi carrying Hana on his back in the forest, then Takumi holding the feather and the scene of Hana looking at deer (cut before they move to leave the shot) from her dream in EDNE. I believe the sequence contains the second instance of Hana looking up at the trees, an unused shot that tilts up on a gorgeous, mostly bare green tree, and concludes with the first shot in the EDNE dream sequence, a shot of the watering hole that fades to black. [EDIT: film critic Jake Mulligan pointed out to me that the rest of Gift could be construed as a dream in a manner that EDNE could not, given that Hana is never specified as having woken up.]

The Playmode meeting is shown in a single still frame which shows the client in the background on the Google Meet with the boss and representatives at the table in the foreground, the former looking sullenly away, with on-screen text describing the boss refusing to go to the village. An unused shot from the car’s point-of-view driving on village roads plays under text describing the representatives wanting Takumi to be their caretaker and him refusing, followed by a truncated shot of them arriving at his house while the text describes Takahashi’s interest in staying longer in the village growing as he spends more time with Takumi. The attempted gift of alcohol is not shown, and Takumi chops wood followed by Takahashi’s attempts. Takumi’s advice on technique is not shown before Takahashi’s successful chop, with the only on-screen dialogue in the scene being the hilariously blunt “Let’s go to lunch.”

The udon restaurant scene takes place here (with the conclusion of Sachi’s cooking), eliding Takahashi’s caretaker request and only talking about the potential glamping site being in the deers’ path. The scene ends right as the bowls are taken away, before Takahashi and Kazuo’s exchange.

The scene of Takumi and the representatives gathering water plays out up until Takahashi takes the water jug from the struggling Mayuzumi and informs her (in on-screen text) of his intention to stay. It then cuts to them placing the jugs in the car with on-screen text dialogue of Mayuzumi also saying she plans to stay. There is a brief moment of black, then Takahashi lighting his cigarette alongside Takumi; the rest of the scene as they hear gunshots (not mentioned onscreen this time) and drive off plays out uninterrupted.

I think the scene of Takumi and the representatives talking about whether deers will attack humans happens here, ending after Takahashi says that the deer will go somewhere else and before Takumi begins smoking.

I’ve placed the scene of Hana walking away from the camera into the woods (which takes place after the shot of her looking up into the trees in EDNE) here, though it may come before the previous scene or elsewhere.

Here, Takumi and representatives are walking into the woods; the shot is interrupted by the view of the dead deer that opens this sequence in EDNE, integrating it as the shot to the reverse shot of Mayuzumi looking at it as she walks by. I think the entire rest of the sequence plays out like in EDNE through the shot of Mayuzumi’s cut hand.

I believe there’s a match cut to that hand being bound by Takumi, before he and then Takahashi rush out. Mayuzumi then I think goes outside (definitely without looking at the family photograph) for the long shot of the fog enveloping the house and forest.

There are then unused shots of the public address speaker, one close dissolving into a farther shot, which is when Ishibashi triggered the PA broadcast announcement, which is partially translated onscreen over the shots taken from EDNE of villagers searching for Hana. It is only made clear here in Gift that she is missing, as the on-screen text does not mention that Takumi was taking the representatives along with him to belatedly pick her up from school.

I believe that after the last unchanged shot (of Kazuo and Sachi parking on the road and going into the woods) is the shots of Suruga in his house, which are flipped to show the long shot of his house first before the closer view of him through his window, followed by the last shot of Mayuzumi silhouetted before she goes back into the house. If I’m not mistaken, the second shot of the villagers searching in the woods is removed.

The discovery of Hana facing the deer initially plays out the same from the tracking shot of Takumi and Takahashi walking through the woods through the second reverse angle on Hana. The image of the wound on the deer immediately following that in EDNE, however, is moved until after I think the second shot of Takumi choking Takahashi (i.e. the first handheld close-up). The sequence then plays out the same (perhaps with a truncation of the second wide shot but I’m not sure) until maybe the most narratively significant change: the shot of Takumi carrying Hana into the forest in the background cuts before Takahashi staggers into frame, perhaps suggesting a less ambiguous fate or simply an unconscious state.

Perhaps the most startling moment happens here: the film cuts to the shot of Hana looking at the deer in her dream. She appears to have her hand in a thumbs up gesture before moving it to shield her eyes from the sun, which she does in reverse order in that shot; whether this was an unused extension or even reversed footage is unclear. Gift then cuts to an unused tight close-up on Takumi with a slight smile on his face, apparently in the same sunny place as Hana was in her dream. It’s possible that this footage was even taken from the origins of Omika Hitoshi as the lead of Evil Does Not Exist and Gift, where he was originally driving Hamaguchi around during location scouting and thus serving as a stand-in for reference; Hamaguchi found his visage striking in juxtaposition to nature and decided to cast him.

There are then two shots of a rapidly flowing stream amid the snow at night, which are taken from a sequence of shots following Takumi drawing and his chimney at around the film’s midpoint. Gift then concludes with the same final shot as Evil Does Not Exist, of the moon surrounded by pitch-black trees, albeit without the heavy breathing. Unlike the individual page credits of EDNE, the credits here begin rolling while the shot is going on (I regrettably do not recall exactly when the screen becomes completely black), are presented entirely in English, and even mention certain cast and crew members who were only in EDNE (including the school teacher, the PA announcer, the sound people, and the musicians on the score, even though the work of some of those people is presented in the live performance.) Gift is not mentioned by name in these credits but certain aspects are, including the credits scroll design and Ishibashi’s tour manager. There is a solo credit that scrolls up to the center reading “Created for the music performance of Eiko Ishibashi.” There is a final copyright credit for NEOPA/fictive 2023, put on the bottom right instead of the bottom left for EDNE.

Ishibashi kept playing through the (fairly quick) credits, holding her notes until that last credit faded; both screenings were among the most magical experiences I’ve had in a theater.

New York Film Festival 2024 Predictions (Round 3)

Main Slate
*Nickel Boys (RaMell Ross)
*The Room Next Door (Pedro Almodóvar)
*Blitz (Steve McQueen)
Afternoons of Solitude (Albert Serra)
All We Imagine as Light (Payal Kapadia)
Anora (Sean Baker)
April (Dea Kulumbegashvili)
Black Dog (Guan Hu)
By the River (Hong Sang-soo)
Caught by the Tides (Jia Zhangke)
Dahomey (Mati Diop)
The Damned (Roberto Minervini)
L’Empire (Bruno Dumont)
Grand Tour (Miguel Gomes)
Harvest (Athina Rachel Tsangari)
Misericordia (Alain Guiraudie)
Oh, Canada (Paul Schrader)
On Becoming a Guinea Fowl (Rungano Nyoni)
The Other Way Around (Jonás Trueba)
Pavements (Alex Ross Perry)
Pepe (Nelson Carlo de los Santos Arias)
Serpent’s Path (Kurosawa Kiyoshi)
The Shrouds (David Cronenberg)
The Sparrow in the Chimney (Ramon Zürcher)
Stranger Eyes (Yeo Siew Hua)
Three Friends (Emmanuel Mouret)
A Traveler’s Needs (Hong Sang-soo)
Visiting Hours (Patricia Mazuy)
Youth (Hard Times) (Wang Bing)
Youth (Homecoming) (Wang Bing)

Currents
*Direct Action (Ben Russell & Guillaume Cailleau)
The Adamant Girl (PS Vinothraj)
Bluish (Lilith Kraxner & Milena Czernovsky)
Bogancloch (Ben Rivers)
The Cats of Gokogu Shrine (Soda Kazuhiro)
Familiar Touch (Sarah Friedland)
Fire of Wind (Marta Mateus)
Happyend (Sora Neo)
Invention (Courtney Stephens)
Lázaro de noche (Nicolás Pereda)
Monólogo Colectivo (Jessica Sarah Rinland)
Normandie (Vadim Kostrov)
Room of Shadows (Camilo Restrepo)
7 Walks With Mark Brown (Pierre Creton & Vincent Barré)
Sleep With Your Eyes Open (Nele Wohlatz)
Under a Blue Sun (Daniel Mann)
Viet and Nam (Trương Minh Quý)
You Burn Me (Matías Piñeiro)

Spotlight
*Queer (Luca Guadagnino)
Christmas Eve in Miller’s Point (Tyler Taormina)
Eephus (Carson Lund)
Eight Postcards From Utopia (Radu Jude & Christian Ferencz-Flatz)
The End (Joshua Oppenheimer)
exergue – on documenta 14 (Dimitris Athiridis)
Filmlovers! (Arnaud Desplechin)
The Invasion (Sergei Loznitsa)
It’s Not Me (Leos Carax)
No Other Land (Basel Adra & Hamdan Ballal & Yuval Abraham & Rachel Szor)
Rumours (Guy Maddin & Evan & Galen Johnson)
The Seed of the Sacred Fig (Mohammad Rasoulof)
Scénarios/Exposé du film annonce du film “Scénario” (Jean-Luc Godard)
Sleep #2 (Radu Jude)
Things We Said Today (Andrei Ujică)

New York Film Festival 2024 Predictions (Round 2)

Virtual Lock
All We Imagine as Light (Payal Kapadia)
Anora (Sean Baker)
By the River (Hong Sang-soo)
Caught by the Tides (Jia Zhangke)
Dahomey (Mati Diop)
Grand Tour (Miguel Gomes)
Misericordia (Alain Guiraudie)
A Traveler’s Needs (Hong Sang-soo)
Youth (Hard Times) (Wang Bing)

Strong Chance
Afternoons of Solitude (Albert Serra)
The Damned (Roberto Minervini)
L’Empire (Bruno Dumont)
Pepe (Nelson Carlo de los Santos Arias)
The Shrouds (David Cronenberg)
The Sparrow in the Chimney (Ramon Zürcher)
Suspended Time (Olivier Assayas)

Moderate Possibility
Black Dog (Guan Hu)
Cent mille milliards (Virgil Vernier)
Death Will Come (Christoph Hochhäusler)
Elementary (Claire Simon)
Favoriten (Ruth Beckermann)
Matt and Mara (Kazik Radwanski)
Meeting With Pol Pot (Panh Rithy)
No Other Land (Basel Adra & Hamdan Ballal & Yuval Abraham & Rachel Szor)
Oh, Canada (Paul Schrader)
On Becoming a Guinea Fowl (Rungano Nyoni)
The Other Way Around (Jonás Trueba)
Rumours (Guy Maddin & Evan Johnson & Galen Johnson)
An Unfinished Film (Lou Ye)
Universal Language (Matthew Rankin)
Visiting Hours (Patricia Mazuy)
Who by Fire (Philippe Lesage)

Currents
The Adamant Girl (PS Vinothraj)
Bluish (Lilith Kraxner & Milena Czernovsky)
Bogancloch (Ben Rivers)
The Cats of Gokogu Shrine (Soda Kazuhiro)
Direct Action (Ben Russell & Guillaume Cailleau) [opening night]
Fire of Wind (Marta Mateus)
Invention (Courtney Stephens)
Lázaro de noche (Nicolás Pereda)
Monólogo Colectivo (Jessica Sarah Rinland)
Normandie (Vadim Kostrov)
Room of Shadows (Camilo Restrepo)
7 Walks With Mark Brown (Pierre Creton & Vincent Barré)
Sleep With Your Eyes Open (Nele Wohlatz)
Under a Blue Sun (Daniel Mann)
Viet and Nam (Trương Minh Quý)
You Burn Me (Matías Piñeiro)

Spotlight
Blitz (Steve McQueen) [gala]
Christmas Eve in Miller’s Point (Tyler Taormina)
Eephus (Carson Lund)
Eight Postcards From Utopia (Radu Jude & Christian Ferencz-Flatz)
exergue – on documenta 14 (Dimitris Athiridis)
Filmlovers! (Arnaud Desplechin)
The Invasion (Sergei Loznitsa)
It’s Not Me (Leos Carax)
The Seed of the Sacred Fig (Mohammad Rasoulof)
Scénarios/Exposé du film annonce du film “Scénario” (Jean-Luc Godard)
Sleep #2 (Radu Jude)

New

By the River (Hong Sang-soo)
Hong.

Youth (Hard Times) (Wang Bing)
Might be placing this too highly considering the Locarno premiere vs. the Cannes competition berth of its predecessor, but if the reception is even nearly as positive then it should make it to the Main Slate easily.

Afternoons of Solitude (Albert Serra)
Not sure exactly what a Serra documentary will look like but the general embrace in the Lim era of fiction feature auteurs’ documentary efforts (Haynes, Mendonça Filho) make it a likely inclusion.

The Sparrow in the Chimney (Ramon Zürcher)
Might even have this too low, considering this will be yet another step up in ambition from the Zürchers’ previous film.

Cent mille milliards (Virgil Vernier)
Vernier has been around a while and seems to have a pretty strong base of support.

Death Will Come (Christoph Hochhäusler)
Probably less likely considering his previous Berlin award-winning film didn’t make it in but it’s possible.

Bluish (Lilith Kraxner & Milena Czernovsky)
FIDMarseille Grand Prix winner.

Bogancloch (Ben Rivers)
Rivers.

Fire of Wind (Marta Mateus)
Invention (Courtney Stephens)
Lázaro de noche (Nicolás Pereda)
Monólogo Colectivo (Jessica Sarah Rinland)
Room of Shadows (Camilo Restrepo)
7 Walks With Mark Brown (Pierre Creton & Vincent Barré)
Lots of Projections/Currents alumni, plus Rinland in Art of the Real.

Normandie (Vadim Kostrov)
Kostrov’s been around a “while” and a FIDMarseille berth seems as good an opportunity as any.

Blitz (Steve McQueen)
McQueen; purely speculative section placement and gala assignment but could easily see it in Main Slate, even as one of the galas there.

Eight Postcards From Utopia (Radu Jude & Christian Ferencz-Flatz)
Sleep #2 (Radu Jude)
Jude; both seem at first glance perhaps too small for Main Slate but could be mistaken.

Removed

All the Long Nights (Miyake Sho)
Japan Cuts.

New York Film Festival 2024 Predictions (Round 1)

Virtual Lock
All We Imagine as Light (Payal Kapadia)
Anora (Sean Baker)
Caught by the Tides (Jia Zhangke)
Dahomey (Mati Diop)
Grand Tour (Miguel Gomes)
Misericordia (Alain Guiraudie)
A Traveler’s Needs (Hong Sang-soo)

Strong Chance
The Damned (Roberto Minervini)
The Empire (Bruno Dumont)
Pepe (Nelson Carlo de los Santos Arias)
The Shrouds (David Cronenberg)
Suspended Time (Olivier Assayas)

Moderate Possibility
All the Long Nights (Miyake Sho)
Black Dog (Guan Hu)
Elementary (Claire Simon)
Favoriten (Ruth Beckermann)
Matt and Mara (Kazik Radwanski)
Meeting With Pol Pot (Panh Rithy)
No Other Land (Basel Adra & Hamdan Ballal & Yuval Abraham & Rachel Szor)
Oh, Canada (Paul Schrader)
On Becoming a Guinea Fowl (Rungano Nyoni)
The Other Way Around (Jonás Trueba)
Rumours (Guy Maddin & Evan Johnson & Galen Johnson)
An Unfinished Film (Lou Ye)
Universal Language (Matthew Rankin)
Visiting Hours (Patricia Mazuy)
Who by Fire (Philippe Lesage)

Currents
The Adamant Girl (PS Vinothraj)
The Cats of Gokogu Shrine (Soda Kazuhiro)
Direct Action (Ben Russell & Guillaume Cailleau) [opening night]
Sleep With Your Eyes Open (Nele Wohlatz)
Under a Blue Sun (Daniel Mann)
Viet and Nam (Trương Minh Quý)
You Burn Me (Matías Piñeiro)

Spotlight
Christmas Eve in Miller’s Point (Tyler Taormina)
Eephus (Carson Lund)
exergue – on documenta 14 (Dimitris Athiridis)
Filmlovers! (Arnaud Desplechin)
The Invasion (Sergei Loznitsa)
It’s Not Me (Leos Carax)
Megalopolis (Francis Ford Coppola) [gala]
The Seed of the Sacred Fig (Mohammad Rasoulof)
Scénarios/Exposé du film annonce du film “Scénario” (Jean-Luc Godard)

Virtual Lock

All We Imagine as Light (Payal Kapadia)
Widely beloved Cannes prizewinner.

Anora (Sean Baker)
Actually had this in Strong Chance before the Palme d’or win, only because I wasn’t certain if it would also fall into Spotlight like Red Rocket, but the prize sealed it (no Palme has missed Main Slate since Dheepan).

Caught by the Tides (Jia Zhangke)
Jia.

Dahomey (Mati Diop)
Golden Bear winner plus Diop.

Grand Tour (Miguel Gomes)
Gomes + Cannes prize.

Misericordia (Alain Guiraudie)
Extremely strong notices out of Cannes, Sideshow/Janus acquisition, and Lim’s love for his work; Nobody’s Hero was likely an anomaly.

A Traveler’s Needs (Hong Sang-soo)
Hong.

Strong Chance

The Damned (Roberto Minervini)
Lim has always admired Minervini’s work and the fictional context plus the Film Comment interview make it more likely than not.

The Empire (Bruno Dumont)
Dumont is always hard to parse, even with the Berlin win; he’s only made it three times and just once in the comedy period; this would be the first in the QuinCoin universe if it did make it.

Pepe (Nelson Carlo de los Santos Arias)
Berlin winner and general appreciation, though it wouldn’t be the biggest shock if this was in Currents.

The Shrouds (David Cronenberg)
General Cronenberg love, and I’m certain that Crimes of the Future would have made it in if it wasn’t released during the summer.

Suspended Time (Olivier Assayas)
Don’t know exactly how much of Assayas’s consistent inclusion was because of Kent Jones (I’m guessing Wasp Network wouldn’t have made it if not for his grand final year), but he’s certainly a beloved figure.

Moderate Possibility

All the Long Nights (Miyake Sho)
Berlin Forum; Miyake was in ND/NF before.

Black Dog (Guan Hu)
Prix Un Certain Regard isn’t a sign by any means (Unclenching the Fists is the only one in the past ten years to make it) but it might help, along with Jia’s involvement.

Elementary (Claire Simon)
I Want to Talk About Duras was in Currents, and Our Body probably would have made it if its NYC premiere hadn’t been at Doc Fortnight.

Favoriten (Ruth Beckermann)
Seems more conventional than Currents selection Mutzenbacher.

Matt and Mara (Kazik Radwanski)
General appreciation for Radwanski’s work and seems too conventional for Currents.

Meeting With Pol Pot (Panh Rithy)
Admittedly Rithy hasn’t had a film in NYFF since The Missing Picture, but it’s always possible.

No Other Land (Basel Adra & Hamdan Ballal & Yuval Abraham & Rachel Szor)
Conceivably could be in any section, but considering every single aspect of its platform it seems unlikely to miss.

Oh, Canada (Paul Schrader)
The completely unexpected Master Gardener inclusion plus the more apparently adventurous nature of this seem possible.

On Becoming a Guinea Fowl (Rungano Nyoni)
Seemed to get strong praise from some critics.

The Other Way Around (Jonás Trueba)
You Have to Come and See It was in Currents, and this seems more conventional with very positive reviews.

Rumours (Guy Maddin & Evan Johnson & Galen Johnson)
The word was more muted than expected and wouldn’t be surprised if this missed or was in Spotlight.

An Unfinished Film (Lou Ye)
Lou did previously have Saturday Fiction in the festival.

Universal Language (Matthew Rankin)
Not sure where to place this, but seems distinctive/strange enough.

Visiting Hours (Patricia Mazuy)
Maybe more wishful than anything else but decent reviews Huppert is in there.

Who by Fire (Philippe Lesage)
One of the more notable Berlin films.

Currents

The Adamant Girl (PS Vinothraj)
Berlin Forum, and Pebbles remains one of the most remembered recent Tiger Award winners.

The Cats of Gokogu Shrine (Soda Kazuhiro)
Could be anywhere but Soda is well-known enough.

Direct Action (Ben Russell & Guillaume Cailleau) [opening night]
Thought about Main Slate but seems more likely to occupy the quasi-Main Slate opening spot like Will-o’-the-Wisp, Diamantino, and The Human Surge 3.

Sleep With Your Eyes Open (Nele Wohlatz)
Berlin Encounters, and ND/NF alum.

Under a Blue Sun (Daniel Mann)
I’m especially bad at remembering Rotterdam films but this was the feature I recalled the best.

Viet and Nam (Trương Minh Quý)
Projections alum, might be in play for Main Slate.

You Burn Me (Matías Piñeiro)
Entirely uncertain about where to place this, but Piñeiro’s history means will be in NYFF somewhere.

Spotlight

Christmas Eve in Miller’s Point (Tyler Taormina)
Eephus (Carson Lund)
Could see these following the Directors’ Fortnight -> NYFF route that The Feeling That the Time for Doing Something Has Passed and The Sweet East accomplished.

exergue – on documenta 14 (Dimitris Athiridis)
Will probably be in NYFF somewhere, and I get the sense that Spotlight can often be used for these sort of in between documentaries.

Filmlovers! (Arnaud Desplechin)
Desplechin falls even moreso under the Kent Jones aegis, but the hybrid format sounds fascinating.

The Invasion (Sergei Loznitsa)
It’s been a while for Loznitsa, but it’s not out of the question.

It’s Not Me (Leos Carax)
Scénarios/Exposé du film annonce du film “Scénario” (Jean-Luc Godard)
All three of these will certainly be in NYFF, and I could see the Godardian nature of the former pairing well with the latter two; for some reason Spotlight seems more likely to me than the Currents format that Godard’s previous swan song used in conjunction with Wang Bing and Costa.

Megalopolis (Francis Ford Coppola) [gala]
Could see this missing NYFF entirely, but the grand folly nature of it weirdly makes me think of Maestro‘s Spotlight gala spot, so might as well guess it for this.

The Seed of the Sacred Fig (Mohammad Rasoulof)
Was feeling more certain about this before it got an odd Special Prize at Cannes; Screen jury grid ratings aside the reactions seem more respectful than anything else, and Spotlight may fit it better than the Main Slate if it’s in NYFF at all.